PUNE: There has been a sharp decline in the growth rate of Covid-19 across the state, health officials, who cited week-on-week figures, said.
“There was an increase of 140% in COVID cases during the week 30 May-5 June as compared to that week (23-29 May). The week-on-week growth during June 15-21 was 45% as compared to June 8-14 and the growth rate in the last week of June (June 21-27) was only 7% as compared to the June 14-20 period,” State Surveillance Officer, Dr Pradip Awate Told.
He said the weekly trends are the first signs of an imminent decline in the state’s caseload.
“For the first time since the new surge started, we expect less number of new cases in Maharashtra during the first week of July as compared to June last week. Weekly cases declined in Mumbai and Palghar districts in the last week of June, but increased in places like Raigad and Pune. But like the third wave, the latest surge in Pune started after Mumbai, so it is natural that the state capital may see a decline before Pune,” Dr Awte said.
He said that from May 30 to June 5, 7,253 new cases were reported in the state, while from June 6 to June 12, 17,380 cases were reported. Later, in the week of June 13-19, 25,712 patients were recorded and between June 20 and June 26, 26,917 were detected.
“The growth rate has come down significantly to single digits. Mumbai, Thane, Pune, Raigad and Palghar are currently adding 92% to the state’s daily cases, so a fall in these places will slow down the growth of Covid for the entire state,” Dr Awte said.
Doctor Kapil JirpeMember of Pune COVID-19 Task Force and Head of Neurotrauma Unit Ruby Hall Clinicsaid, “A very clear trend we have observed is that Mumbai’s caseload is decreasing while Pune’s has increased. So, Pune’s decline is expected to be a little later than Mumbai’s. But the good thing is that Most cases are mild, and can be controlled with home isolation. Hospitalizations mostly occur in a group of immunocompromised and elderly people who may have missed the booster jab.”
Health officials had earlier said that most of the new patients had low covid severity due to the prevalence of mild omicron variants.
The limited prevalence of subvariant BA was observed in Maharashtra in June. 4 and B.A. 5, which appears to replicate better in lung cells than the original omicron variant, the officials said.